Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#254
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#284
Pace69.8#115
Improvement-4.0#305

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#135
Improvement-2.6#288

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#329
Improvement-1.4#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 50   New Mexico St. L 75-89 16%     0 - 1 -8.9 -6.7 -0.1
  Nov 15, 2011 75   @ Wyoming L 56-75 8%     0 - 2 -8.9 -3.2 -7.6
  Nov 20, 2011 89   @ Northern Iowa L 69-78 9%     0 - 3 -0.1 +1.0 -1.1
  Nov 22, 2011 27   @ Iowa St. L 82-90 4%     0 - 4 +6.9 +14.9 -7.9
  Nov 25, 2011 234   Western Carolina W 74-57 45%     1 - 4 +12.7 -3.2 +15.7
  Nov 26, 2011 316   Southern W 77-57 73%     2 - 4 +8.2 -0.3 +8.0
  Dec 14, 2011 79   Denver L 65-71 21%     2 - 5 -3.0 -6.1 +2.8
  Dec 17, 2011 18   @ Marquette L 72-93 3%     2 - 6 -4.0 +1.6 -3.8
  Dec 22, 2011 72   Colorado St. L 78-92 20%     2 - 7 -10.6 +7.9 -19.4
  Dec 31, 2011 338   Northern Arizona W 80-64 89%     3 - 7 1 - 0 -3.0 +1.2 -3.6
  Jan 02, 2012 300   Idaho St. L 55-57 74%     3 - 8 1 - 1 -14.3 -7.4 -7.5
  Jan 07, 2012 293   @ Sacramento St. W 61-53 46%     4 - 8 2 - 1 +3.4 -9.0 +13.2
  Jan 12, 2012 207   Portland St. L 75-86 51%     4 - 9 2 - 2 -16.8 +2.0 -19.9
  Jan 14, 2012 213   Eastern Washington W 71-70 52%     5 - 9 3 - 2 -5.1 -1.7 -3.3
  Jan 19, 2012 95   @ Montana L 58-76 10%     5 - 10 3 - 3 -9.4 -9.7 +0.7
  Jan 21, 2012 292   @ Montana St. L 72-84 46%     5 - 11 3 - 4 -16.6 -0.3 -16.7
  Jan 26, 2012 300   @ Idaho St. L 94-99 2OT 50%     5 - 12 3 - 5 -10.5 -0.3 -9.2
  Jan 30, 2012 338   @ Northern Arizona W 64-62 OT 74%     6 - 12 4 - 5 -10.2 -17.0 +6.7
  Feb 02, 2012 293   Sacramento St. L 62-73 71%     6 - 13 4 - 6 -22.4 -13.4 -9.7
  Feb 04, 2012 123   @ Weber St. L 81-93 13%     6 - 14 4 - 7 -5.5 +9.1 -14.8
  Feb 09, 2012 95   Montana L 68-75 24%     6 - 15 4 - 8 -5.2 -1.2 -4.0
  Feb 11, 2012 292   Montana St. W 77-64 OT 71%     7 - 15 5 - 8 +1.6 -6.2 +7.1
  Feb 15, 2012 213   @ Eastern Washington L 76-79 27%     7 - 16 5 - 9 -2.3 +2.3 -4.5
  Feb 18, 2012 172   Cal Poly W 81-73 43%     8 - 16 +4.3 +10.2 -5.4
  Feb 23, 2012 123   Weber St. L 71-88 30%     8 - 17 5 - 10 -17.3 -7.4 -9.5
  Feb 28, 2012 207   @ Portland St. L 74-75 26%     8 - 18 5 - 11 +0.0 -3.4 +3.4
Projected Record 8.0 - 18.0 5.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%